Iran Regime Acknowledges Its Critical Condition
By Mahmoud Hakamian
Regime’s policies over the past 40 years has now turned into the subject of debate among state officials and experts.
To discuss the issue, the state TV on July 11, 2018, hosted two so-called political experts, Pirouz Mojtahedzadeh, Hassan Rouhani’s foreign policy adviser, and Diako Hosseini.
Acknowledging regime’s critical condition, both guests as well as the moderator stressed that regime’s very existence is under threat unless it seriously reconsiders its previous policies.
Asked about the situation the regime is currently in, Mojtahedzadeh says that “without wishful thinking, I believe that we’ve reached a state of emergency. I’m afraid the situation is going to be quite dangerous if we fail to provide a solution.”
Pointing to factors causing the current situation, both state analysts first point their fingers at regime’s substantial mistakes, and then refer to the PMOI/MEK (The People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran) as the main outside factor.
“Neither at this stage nor the previous ones, no outside force has been or will be able to destroy or weaken Iran, unless we ourselves move in that direction”, says Diako Hosseini, adding “what I’m going to say is that we’re not faced with the United States alone. We used to say that the United States is Iran’s enemy and is planning to do this or that. The same was also true about Israel. Today, however, it is the PMOI/MEK that’s running the white house. This is a too different case. They (the US administration) are quite absorbed with PMOI’s assumption claiming that the Iranian regime is on the brink of collapse and a little push will do the trick.”
Among the mistakes both analysts agree on are regime’s regional policies --its intervention in Syria and Yemen in particular-- and the stupid moves that regime leader Ali Khamenei has specifically made in this regard.
With regard to regime’s missile program, Mojtahedzadeh says “we need to stop saying that Israel will be wiped off the map in the next five or 20 years, and also stop writing such slogans on our missiles.”
Diako Hosseini meanwhile acknowledges that regime’s intervention in Syria and Yemen was wrong, saying “the mistake we made with regard to Syria was that we decided to intervene without presenting a good image of our presence there. This led to the current situation in which Iran’s bases have turned into Israel’s permanent targets. Some places are not supposed to be conquered. This includes Syria; Yemen likewise. We shouldn’t have entered Yemen while it was logistically difficult for us to be there, so much so that our military advisers had to go there completely uncovered.”
The moderator then asked the guests about people’s opinion on regime’s regional and foreign policy. In response, Mojtahedzadeh acknowledges that “I don’t think you can find a single Iranian individual who’s satisfied with the current situation.”
Asked about the ways out of the crisis, both state experts say that the only way forward for the regime is to first repent and move away from its past policies, and then initiate reasonable negotiations with the United States.
“We need to improve our behavior. We have to negotiate if it’s necessary. Meanwhile, we keep saying death to America while burning the US flag. Well, that’s not the right thing to do,” says Mojtahedzadeh.
Diako Hosseini meanwhile believes that “it’s possible to negotiate even with enemies. Negotiations could bring concessions that won’t be achieved otherwise.”
As could be seen, state analysts explicitly declare that the regime has to completely reconsider its foreign policy, move away from its regional interventions, and even resort to the United States to find a way out of collapse.
But the question is, will the new policy, if ever adopted by the regime, be able to rescue the regime from an inevitable collapse it’s heading toward?
But the question is, will the new policy, if ever adopted by the regime, be able to rescue the regime from an inevitable collapse it’s heading toward?
The answer to this question, however, is that even if the regime decides to adopt such a policy, thereby no longer writing slogans on its missiles and pulling out of Syria and Yemen as the state expert puts it, it will only mean regime’s acceding to a policy of ‘endless degradation’, which Ali Khamenei specifically warned against in June 2016, with other regime officials following suit afterwards.
Considering the current situation in which the regime is faced with a boiling dissatisfied society that’s challenging regime’s legitimacy everyday across the country, the endless degradation policy will cost the regime a much heavier price.
The fact, however, is that Iranian people have with their resistance, their uprisings and their daily protests put the regime on a no-return collapse route of which it’s not capable of getting out, as the time when such outside factors like West’s appeasement policy could save the regime is long past.
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